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EMJ Online First, published on November 27, 2014 as 10.1136/emermed-2014-204129 Short report

The Medical Boomerang: Will it come back? Cian McDermott,1 Michael Sheridan,1 Katie Moore,2 Andrew Gosbell2 1

Emergency Department, The Geelong Hospital, Geelong, Victoria, Australia 2 Australasian College for Emergency Medicine, Melbourne, Australia Correspondence to Dr Cian McDermott, Emergency Department, Geelong Hospital, Geelong, VIC 3220, Australia; [email protected] @cianmcdermott Received 2 July 2014 Revised 8 October 2014 Accepted 10 November 2014

ABSTRACT Objectives To explore the increasing numbers of emergency medicine (EM) registrars that obtained their primary medical degree from UK or Irish universities, who work in emergency departments (ED) throughout Australia and New Zealand. Methods The Victorian Emergency Registrar Study was published at the Australasian College for Emergency Medicine (ACEM) annual scientific meeting in Adelaide in November 2013. As a follow on, ACEM provided the authors with data regarding country of primary degree for international medical graduates (IMG) working as registrars in Australasian EDs. Results UK and Irish EM registrars make up the largest proportion of IMGs working in Australian and New Zealand EDs. These figures have increased from 34% in 2008 to 45% in 2013. In 2013, there was the highest yearly intake of UK and Irish ED IMG registrars, representing 41% of registrars joining the Australasian EM training programme. Current data show that >25% of all ED registrars working in Australasian EDs studied for their primary medical degree in a university either in Ireland or the UK. Conclusions While there have been anecdotal reports of increased outflow of junior EM doctors from the UK and Ireland, we provide quantitative data on the extent of the recent (5-year trend data) emigration of UK/Irish EM trainees to Australia and New Zealand and discuss the impact of this on both the UK/Irish and Australasian health systems.

Boomerang – A returning boomerang is designed to be thrown in a closed arch path, which returns to the thrower; A course of action that backfires on the originator.

To cite: McDermott C, Sheridan M, Moore K, et al. Emerg Med J Published Online First: [ please include Day Month Year] doi:10.1136/emermed-2014204129

Australia and New Zealand have historically relied on international medical graduates (IMG) to supplement medical workforce supply needs.1 2 Currently, 23.5% (16 186) of the Australian medical workforce is composed of IMGs, which is similar to the proportion of Australians born overseas.3 IMGs have long enjoyed hyper-mobile employment status due to a high degree of transferrable medical skills. The Antipodes has been a timehonoured destination for emergency medicine (EM) doctors-in-training from the UK and Ireland, seeking to gain short-term experience in an English-speaking healthcare system before returning to their country of origin. Recent years has seen a significant variation to this trend, with increasing numbers of UK and Irish EM doctors remaining in Australasia for the duration of their training and beyond. Several push factors contribute to explain this phenomenon. The impact of current working

conditions and lack of time and opportunities for training in the UK hospital system have resulted in disillusionment with NHS.4 The global financial downturn caused acute repercussions throughout Western Europe. While Australia has been sheltered from this financial crisis,5 there have been impacts on income, working hours and cost of living in the UK and Ireland.6 For EM, this is further exacerbated by other factors including constant pressure to achieve performance against the NHS 4 h target impacting on the ability of emergency departments (ED) medical staff to provide high-quality care,7 the large numbers of unfilled consultant posts in EM8 and growth in attendances at EDs.9 As a result, many UK EM consultants feel that their current work conditions are unsustainable.10 The net result of outmigration of UK EM doctors has also contributed to severe difficulty in the recruitment and retention of doctors willing to specialise in EM in the UK.11 This crisis is reflected in the high number of unfilled Acute Common Care Stem training posts and an over-reliance on locum doctors.12 13 To combat this problem, from August 2014, Health Education England and the College for Emergency Medicine (CEM) will be actively recruiting overseas doctors to undertake 4-year EM training opportunities in the UK.14 By contrast, the Australasian medical workforce has been bolstered by the influx of highly trained and motivated IMGs from Ireland and the UK. EM trainees from the UK and Ireland come to Australasia to benefit from many favourable conditions offered by the Australian and New Zealand EM systems. These include a 38 h working week, guaranteed protected teaching time, 16 h per day of ED consultant supervision, adequate remuneration for hours worked and educational activities, in addition to other positive lifestyle factors. Australia and New Zealand have seen a steady increase in the number of EM trainees registered with the Australasian College for Emergency Medicine (ACEM), from 1654 in 2009 to 2258 in 2013 (table 1); 8% annual growth over this 5-year period. IMGs from the UK and Ireland have consistently been the largest proportion of IMG trainees working in Australasian EDs. Furthermore, the annual growth rate for the UK/Irish IMGs trainee cohort, at 16%, is double that of all trainees from 2009 to 2013, such that by 2013, UK/Irish IMG trainees represent one-quarter of all EM trainees in Australia and New Zealand. The growing proportion of UK/Irish IMGs training in EM in Australia and New Zealand is also reflected in the trainee intakes over the past five years (table 1). In 2013 alone, the largest number of IMGs from Ireland and the UK registering with ACEM was recorded. At 41% of doctors commencing the ACEM training programme, this inflow of

McDermott C, et al. Emerg Med J 2014;0:1–3. doi:10.1136/emermed-2014-204129

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Short report Table 1 Trends in Australasian emergency medicine registrar numbers 2009–2013 Trainee intake

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

All trainees

All new trainees

New trainees from the UK/Ireland

Proportion new trainees from the UK/ Ireland (%)

Total trainees

UK/Ireland IMG trainees

Proportion UK/Ireland of total IMG trainees (%)

Proportion UK/Ireland of total trainees (%)

308 329 238 275 391

69 93 69 89 159

22 28 29 32 41

1654 1952 1973 2078 2258

329 413 437 481 566

34 36 38 41 45

20 21 22 23 25

IMG, international medical graduate.

UK/Irish IMGs was the major factor in the overall increase in new trainees seen in 2013 compared with previous years. At fellowship level in 2013, 28% (31/110) of new fellows elected, following completion of the ACEM training pathway, obtained their primary medical degree from a UK or Irish university. A further 41% (14/34) fellows accepted to ACEM following the overseas-trained specialist pathway (which facilitates recognition of overseas specialist qualifications)15 were already in receipt of fellowship of CEM and are now practising at consultant level in Australia. A tenet of contemporary Australian health planning policy is ensuring that the future medical workforce is both adequate to meet the medical care needs of the community and sustainable for the long term.16 Increasing medical graduate numbers in Australia from the mid-2000s17 and national health workforce reforms since 2010 aim to facilitate a more self-sufficient and sustainable medical workforce.18 A subsequent consequence of the increasing medical student, intern and registrar numbers is now a growing demand for ED training, revealing key issues for the future of medical training in Australia19; namely practical constraints to supervisory capacity and availability of placements in existing teaching hospitals. In the very near future, more early-career doctors than ever will be competing for junior medical officer and vocational training positions.20 This will most likely impact on the inflow of junior IMGs to Australia. In May 2014, the Australian Medical Association lodged a submission to the Australian government requesting changes in entry criteria for overseas doctors applying via 457 visa, the main point of entry for UK and Irish IMGs.21 The proposed changes to immigration policy would force hospitals and health departments to attempt to fill vacancies locally before recruiting internationally trained doctors, similar to the situation that currently exists in European Union member countries. As such, there may be a limit to the number of UK and Irish IMGs who can travel overseas to follow the ‘Australian dream’. These Australian circumstances can also be interpreted as a window of opportunity for those concerned with the future of EM in the UK and Ireland. Rather than encouraging immigration of doctors from less developed countries, a policy long regarded as ethically questionable,22 23 UK health strategists should focus on retaining the specialist workforce and attracting ‘home-grown’ junior doctors to pursue EM as a viable career option. Furthermore, expatriate EM doctors may be tempted to return to NHS if new and improved conditions were implemented.24 It is incumbent upon the Department of Health and CEM to continue to negotiate to achieve these improvements, as set out in previous policy documents.14 25 There are many reasons IMGs, particularly from the UK and Ireland, leave their country of origin to work in Australia and

New Zealand. Highly trained, skilled independent practitioners have, in the past, returned to NHS to work at consultant level. However, data from ACEM and the VERS-2013 study1 show that these doctors are now emigrating to Australia for the long term, which will leave EDs the length and breadth of the British Isles with a deficit of new EM consultants, adding to the pressure on already overstretched senior EM decision-making personnel10 and jeopardising the training of the future EM specialist workforce. Meanwhile in Australia, continued IMG influx is at odds with the health workforce planning objectives of increased self-sufficiency and sustainability. The projected increase in demand from home-grown junior doctors for vocational specialist training placements26 and recent political pressure on the Australian Federal government to modify medical immigration policies may reduce the numbers of IMGs working in Australia. The challenge is now before the UK and Irish governments, in conjunction with CEM, to enhance the attractiveness of EM as a fulfilling and sustainable career option.

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McDermott C, et al. Emerg Med J 2014;0:1–3. doi:10.1136/emermed-2014-204129

Contributors CMcD prepared the original manuscript, edited all drafts and coordinated communication between the relevant parties. MS devised the original VERS study, supervised the project and edited draft. KM provided the data from ACEM. AG provided the data from ACEM, edited drafts and provided extra material and references. Competing interests None. Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.

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The Medical Boomerang: Will it come back? Cian McDermott, Michael Sheridan, Katie Moore and Andrew Gosbell Emerg Med J published online November 27, 2014

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The Medical Boomerang: will it come back?

To explore the increasing numbers of emergency medicine (EM) registrars that obtained their primary medical degree from UK or Irish universities, who ...
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