Accepted Manuscript Title: Surveillance of diarrhoea in small animal practice through the Small Animal Veterinary Surveillance Network (SAVSNET) Author: P.H. Jones, S. Dawson, R.M. Gaskell, K.P. Coyne, Á. Tierney, C. Setzkorn, A.D. Radford, P-J.M. Noble PII: DOI: Reference:

S1090-0233(14)00241-X http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.tvjl.2014.05.044 YTVJL 4180

To appear in:

The Veterinary Journal

Accepted date:

31-5-2014

Please cite this article as: P.H. Jones, S. Dawson, R.M. Gaskell, K.P. Coyne, Á. Tierney, C. Setzkorn, A.D. Radford, P-J.M. Noble, Surveillance of diarrhoea in small animal practice through the Small Animal Veterinary Surveillance Network (SAVSNET), The Veterinary Journal (2014), http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.tvjl.2014.05.044. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Surveillance of diarrhoea in small animal practice through the Small Animal Veterinary Surveillance Network (SAVSNET) P.H. Jones a, c, S. Dawson b, R.M. Gaskell a, K.P. Coyne a, Á. Tierney a, C. Setzkorn a, A.D. Radford a, P-J.M. Noble b, * a

University of Liverpool, Institute of Global Health, Leahurst Campus, Chester High Road, Neston, Cheshire, CH64 7TE, UK b University of Liverpool School of Veterinary Science, Leahurst Campus, Chester High Road, Neston, Cheshire, CH64 7TE, UK c National Consortium for Zoonosis Research, Leahurst Campus, Chester High Road, Neston, Cheshire, CH64 7TE, UK

* Corresponding author. Tel.: +44 151 795 6205. E-mail address: [email protected] (P-J.M. Noble).

Page 1 Page 1 of 21

20 21

Abstract Using the Small Animal Veterinary Surveillance Network (SAVSNET), a national

22

small animal disease-surveillance scheme, information on gastrointestinal disease was

23

collected for a total of 76 days between 10 May 2010 and 8 August 2011 from 16,223

24

consultations (including data from 9,115 individual dogs and 3,462 individual cats) from 42

25

premises belonging to 19 UK veterinary practices. During that period, 7% of dogs and 3% of

26

cats presented with diarrhoea.

27 28

Adult dogs had a higher proportional morbidity of diarrhoea (PMD) than adult cats (P

29

< 0.001). This difference was not observed in animals < 1 year old. Younger animals in both

30

species had higher PMDs than adult animals (P < 0.001). Neutering was associated with

31

reduced PMD in young male dogs. In adult dogs, miniature Schnauzers had the highest PMD.

32

Most animals with diarrhoea (51%) presented having been ill for 2-4 days, but a history of

33

vomiting or haemorrhagic diarrhoea was associated with a shorter time to presentation. The

34

most common treatments employed were dietary modification (66% of dogs; 63% of cats)

35

and antibacterials (63% of dogs; 49% of cats). There was variability in PMD between

36

different practices.

37 38

The SAVNET methodology facilitates rapid collection of cross-sectional data

39

regarding diarrhoea, a recognised sentinel for infectious disease, and characterises data that

40

could benchmark clinical practice and support the development of evidence-based medicine.

41 42

Keywords: Breed; Companion animal; Diarrhoea; Surveillance; SAVNET

43

Page 2 Page 2 of 21

44 45

Introduction Gastrointestinal (GI) disease commonly results in the presentation of pets to UK

46

veterinary surgeons, but few national statistics record the frequency or the diagnostic and

47

therapeutic approach to these cases. A study of dogs presented to veterinary practices in the

48

USA suggested that 2.2% of veterinary consultations were related to diarrhoea (Lund et al.,

49

1999). In UK, a survey using client questionnaires reported that up to 20% of dogs had mild

50

vomiting and up to 15% had mild diarrhoea over a 2-week period (Hubbard et al., 2007), and

51

using data from notes provided with referral cases, German et al. (2010) highlighted the high

52

levels of antibacterial drugs used to treat GI disease. However, that study lacked

53

denominators to set it in the context of all animals with GI disease and was based on a

54

comparatively small sample with low statistical power.

55 56

Radford et al. (2011) showed that the presence of GI disease increased the probability

57

that a veterinary surgeon would prescribe antibacterials in first opinion practice, although the

58

prevalence of diarrhoea was not reported. In comparison, data on human disease are much

59

more detailed, with studies of far larger populations coordinated by National Health Service

60

recording and surveillance systems alongside national auditing (O'Brien et al., 2010; Smith et

61

al., 2010).

62 63

It is clear that a more coordinated approach to diarrhoea surveillance in companion

64

animals is needed. As well as quantifying the disease burden, such an approach could identify

65

risk factors for disease susceptibility as well as determining outcome measures associated

66

with specific diagnostic and therapeutic approaches, a prerequisite for the development of

67

evidence-based medicine. Changes in the incidence of diarrhoea could act as a sentinel for

68

infectious disease outbreaks (Smith et al., 2010) and warn of the emergence of new GI

Page 3 Page 3 of 21

69

pathogens.

70 Disease surveillance schemes exist for livestock 1 and horses.2 The Small Animal

71 72

Veterinary Surveillance Network (SAVSNET) monitors disease in small animals attending

73

first opinion practice, using data collected from veterinary laboratories and near real-time

74

collection of consultation records from participating veterinary practices. In this novel study,

75

we used data gathered during pilot studies to establish the feasibility of SAVSNET

76

methodologies to profile the presentation, diagnostic approach and management choices for

77

dogs and cats presenting with diarrhoea to small animal practices in the UK.

78 79

Materials and methods

80

Data collection

81

Data were collected from practices using a compatible version of practice

82

management software (Premvet, Vetsolutions, v03.02.12) following a positive response to a

83

postal request. Seventy-four practices were approached, recruiting 16/59, 3/7, 0/6 and 0/2

84

practices in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, respectively (in total 19 practices

85

comprising 42 premises). Data on GI disease were collected over a total of 76 days between

86

10 May 2010 and 8 August 2011. Data were only collected from consultations relating to sick

87

animals, and excluded vaccine consultations.

88 89

At the end of each consultation, the veterinary surgeon was asked whether the case

1

See: AHVLA, 2012. Veterinary Laboratories Agency: Veterinary Investigation Surveillance Report. http://www.defra.gov.uk/ahvla-en/publication/vida12/ (accessed 29 May 2014).

2

See: AHT, 2012.Animal Health Trust. DEFRA/AHT/BEVA Equine Quarterly Disease Surveillance Reports. Animal Health Trust. http://www.aht.org.uk/cmsdisplay/disease_surveillance.html (accessed 29 May 2014).

Page 4 Page 4 of 21

90

had presented for vomiting or diarrhoea. If the answer to this question was ‘no’, the

91

questionnaire terminated; if ‘yes’, the questionnaire was completed as shown (Fig. 1). The

92

questionnaire responses, signalment and demographic data and the free text consultation

93

record were collected and stored in the SAVSNET database. Data were excluded if the client

94

had opted out of study participation.

95 96 97

Statistical analysis Multiple visits for individual animals were not included in the analysis. For animals

98

that never presented with diarrhoea, data from the first consultation only were used. For

99

animals that presented with diarrhoea, only data from the first consultation for diarrhoea were

100

selected. Thus, the proportions of cases of diarrhoea approximated the proportional morbidity

101

of diarrhoea (PMD; Martin et al., 1987), where the total number of diseased animals was

102

approximated by the total number of animals presenting to participating veterinary practices

103

for sick animal consultations.

104 105

Univariable and multivariable logistic regression was used to model the presentation

106

of diarrhoea (as a binary dependent variable) and the resulting models were used to estimate

107

morbidity odds ratios (ORs), a statistic that can be interpreted as a relative risk on the

108

assumption that the morbidity rate for all other causes was unrelated to exposure to the risk

109

factor (Miettinen and Wang, 1981). The explanatory variables considered in the analysis

110

were species, breed, age and a combined gender-neutering variable that consisted of male-

111

entire, male-castrated, female-entire and female-neutered categories. Log-odds diarrhoea did

112

not show a clear linear association with age and, therefore, the continuous age variable was

113

categorised as young (< 1 year old), adult (1 to < 8 years old) or aged (≥ 8 years old).

114

Page 5 Page 5 of 21

115

Due to the very limited number of explanatory variables available, automated,

116

forwards and/or backwards stepwise algorithms for variable selection were not considered to

117

be appropriate and a more empirical approach was adopted. Based on a combination of

118

statistical and biological considerations, species and age were found to be the most important

119

explanatory variables. The effects of including additional variables or interaction terms were

120

assessed using likelihood ratio (LR) tests. The odds of animals presenting with diarrhoea

121

varied between practices and, therefore, following LR tests, the parameters of reported

122

models were recalculated using robust standard errors to account for intragroup correlation

123

within practices. The effects of each stage of the model building process are described in the

124

results. When testing many between-group comparisons using a single logistic regression

125

model, the overall Type I error (α) was controlled using the Bonferroni adjustment.

126 127

Many breeds were represented in the dataset. In cats, the vast majority of animals

128

were characterised as ‘domestic short-haired’, an unofficial breed that was most likely

129

applied indiscriminately to many cats, thereby limiting useful analysis. Breed was recorded

130

more reliably in dogs but many breeds and breed crosses were represented by only a few

131

individuals, limiting analysis of the whole dataset for breed associations with canine

132

diarrhoea. However, univariable logistic regression analysis was performed using a restricted

133

dataset consisting of breeds where there had been 10 or more cases of diarrhoea in adult

134

animals (≥ 1 year old).

135 136

Cases of diarrhoea were classified as either complicated (diarrhoea was haemorrhagic

137

and/or accompanied by vomiting) or uncomplicated. The time taken from the onset of clinical

138

signs to owners presenting sick animals to veterinary practices was recorded for each case.

139

For dogs and cats, the trend of odds of uncomplicated diarrhoea over each time category was

Page 6 Page 6 of 21

140

calculated using methods based on score statistics; the homogeneity of odds of haemorrhagic

141

diarrhoea across different gender-neuter status categories and, in dogs, across different

142

breeds, were similarly tested (StataCorp, 2007b). Descriptive statistics are presented to

143

illustrate the similarities and differences between diagnostic tests requested and the

144

treatments employed for cases of diarrhoea in dogs and cats. The comparison between dogs

145

and cats were made using univariate logistic regression.

146 147

Data were analysed using commercially available software (Excel, Microsoft and

148

Stata 10 IC, StataCorp, 2007). All proportions and logistic regression models were calculated

149

to allow for clustering within veterinary practices. In the case of large samples, confidence

150

intervals (CIs) were calculated directly, assuming a normal distribution of sample

151

proportions. When only small numbers were involved, CIs were estimated from logistic

152

regression models to avoid issues of error bars extending below zero or above 1. In all

153

analyses, statistical significance was defined as P < 0.05.

154 155

Results

156

Study sample

157

Individual consultation records (including repeated consultations for the same animal;

158

n=16,223) were recorded in the database in response to the ‘diarrhoea and vomiting’

159

questionnaire. Of these, 11,060 consultations (68%) were from dogs, 4,092 (25%) from cats,

160

387 (2%) from rabbits, 164 (1%) from guinea pigs, 416 (2.6%) from other species and 104

161

consultations where the species was not noted (Fig. 2a). Presentation for diarrhoea comprised

162

6% of canine consultations, 3% of feline consultations, 2% of rabbit consultations and 4% of

163

guinea pig consultations (Fig. 2b). Subsequently, data were analysed on a single visit per

164

animal basis, providing 9,115 and 3,462 unique records for dogs and cats, respectively.

Page 7 Page 7 of 21

165 166

As described, the odds of dogs presenting with diarrhoea were significantly different

167

between practices (likelihood-ratio χ2df=18=69.79; P < 0.001); the proportion ranged from 3-

168

13% (Fig. 3). In cats, the differences between practices were not statistically significant

169

(likelihood-ratio χ2df=18 = 14.73; P = 0.680; data not shown).

170 171

Species

172

On a single visit per animal basis, 7% of dogs and 3% of cats presented with

173

diarrhoea on at least one occasion. On univariate analysis, dogs were 2.2 (95% CI 1.8–2.6)

174

times more likely to present with diarrhoea than cats (P < 0.001; Table 1).

175 176 177

Age distribution The proportion of dogs and cats presenting with diarrhoea in each of the age

178

categories is shown in Table 1 and Fig. 4. The inclusion of age (and an interaction term)

179

significantly improved the fit of a model over one that contained species only. Species was

180

not associated with an increase or decrease in presentation with diarrhoea in puppies and

181

kittens (OR = 1.2, 95% CI = 0.7-1.9, P = 0.470). However, adult and aged dogs were 3.2

182

(95% CI 2.3-4.5) and 2.3 (95% CI 1.8-2.9) times more likely, respectively, to present with

183

diarrhoea than cats of similar ages (Table 1). In both dogs and cats, adult animals were

184

significantly less likely to present with diarrhoea than young animals (dogs, ORadult vs. young =

185

0.6, 95% CI = 0.5–0.7, P Bonferroni < 0.001; ORaged vs. young = 0.5, 95% CI = 0.4–0.6, P Bonferroni
100 records to the study.

500 501

Fig. 4. The proportional morbidity of diarrhoea (PMD) in dogs and cats, segregated by age

502

group. Bars represent PMD of diarrhoea in dogs (grey bars) and cats (white bars) in indicated

503

age groups (± 95% confidence interval). Practice-adjusted odds ratios for groups with

504

common labels (a, b or c) were not significantly different (Bonferroni-adjusted P > 0.05).

505 506

Fig. 5. Breeds with diarrhoea. Proportional morbidity of diarrhoea (PMD) in individual

507

breeds is shown for adult/aged dogs (≥1 year). Bars represent PMD (± 95% confidence

508

intervals) for each breed. For the purposes of this study, the term ‘cross’ refers to a non-

509

pedigree animal where the breeds of one or more of the parents are recognizable and have

510

been recorded in the animal’s record. The term ‘crossbreed’ refers to a non-pedigree animal

511

where the breeds of the parents have not been recorded.

512 Page 20 Page 20 of 21

513

Fig. 6. The proportions of dogs and cats with uncomplicated diarrhoea presenting after given

514

durations of illness. Bars represent cases classed as uncomplicated (no vomiting or

515

haemorrhage) as a proportion of all cases of diarrhoea with a given duration of illness prior to

516

presentation. Strata representing 5-7 days and ≥8 days have been collapsed into a single

517

category to ensure sufficient sample size at each level. Grey bars represent dogs and white

518

bars represent cats.

519 520

Fig. 7. Diagnostic tests performed in cases of diarrhoea. Bars represent the proportion of

521

cases for which the given diagnostic test was performed. Grey bars represent dogs and white

522

bars represent cats. TLI, trypsin-like immunoreactivity; PLI, pancreatic lipase

523

immunoreactivity.

524 525

Fig. 8. Treatment choices in diarrhoea. (a) Frequency of use of different treatment classes.

526

Bars represent proportions of cases receiving a given treatment. (b) Frequency of use of

527

antibacterials in cases presenting with haemorrhagic and non-haemorrhagic diarrhoea, bars

528

represent proportion of cases (± 95% confidence intervals) treated with antibacterials (*

529

indicates proportion different to ‘no’ group, P < 0.05). (c) Antibacterials used in treating

530

diarrhoea. Bars represent the proportion of diarrhoea cases that were treated with

531

antibacterials that received each drug type. Grey bars represent dogs and white bars represent

532

cats.

Page 21 Page 21 of 21

Surveillance of diarrhoea in small animal practice through the Small Animal Veterinary Surveillance Network (SAVSNET).

Using the Small Animal Veterinary Surveillance Network (SAVSNET), a national small animal disease-surveillance scheme, information on gastrointestinal...
661KB Sizes 0 Downloads 5 Views