Accepted Manuscript Recurrent postmenopausal bleeding: a prospective cohort study Paul P. Smith, Siobhan O’Connor, Janesh Gupta, T Justin Clark
PII:
S1553-4650(14)00202-7
DOI:
10.1016/j.jmig.2014.03.007
Reference:
JMIG 2273
To appear in:
The Journal of Minimally Invasive Gynecology
Received Date: 2 December 2013 Revised Date:
4 March 2014
Accepted Date: 6 March 2014
Please cite this article as: Smith PP, O’Connor S, Gupta J, Clark TJ, Recurrent postmenopausal bleeding: a prospective cohort study, The Journal of Minimally Invasive Gynecology (2014), doi: 10.1016/j.jmig.2014.03.007. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.
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Title: Recurrent postmenopausal bleeding: a prospective cohort study
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Author Details: Paul P Smith of Birmingham Women’s Hospital, Birmingham, UK Siobhan O’Connor of Birmingham Women’s Hospital, Birmingham, UK
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Janesh Gupta of Birmingham Women’s Hospital, Birmingham, UK
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T Justin Clark of Birmingham Women’s Hospital, Birmingham, UK
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Corresponding Author: Paul P Smith of Birmingham Women’s Hospital, Birmingham, UK
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E-mail:
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Phone number: +447932044361
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Condensation:
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Women who present with recurrent postmenopausal bleeding appear less likely to have
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malignant endometrial disease, but are more likely to have endometrial polyps.
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Abstract
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Study objective. The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence of genital tract
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pathologies in women presenting with initial and recurrent postmenopausal bleeding (PMB)
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to help inform diagnostic pathways
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Design. Prospective cohort study
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Design classification. Canadian Task Force Classification: II-2
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Setting. A large, urban teaching hospital in Birmingham, UK.
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Patients. A total of 1938 consecutive women presented with postmenopausal bleeding, of
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which, 106 (5%) women were investigated for a recurrent episode after previously having
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normal investigations.
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Interventions. All women underwent a pelvic examination and ultrasound scan. An
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endometrial biopsy was performed when endometrial thickness was >4mm in women
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presenting for the first time with PMB, with recourse to outpatient hysteroscopy following
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correlation between clinical and pathological findings. All women had an endometrial biopsy
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and outpatient hysteroscopy with a recurrent PMB presentation.
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Measurements and main results. The chance of having endometrial cancer or hyperplasia
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with atypia was significantly less in women who presented with recurrent PMB as compared
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with those presenting with PMB for the first time (0%, 8% respectively, p=.002), but were
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significantly more likely to have benign endometrial polyps compared with women presenting
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with PMB for the first time (28%, 19% respectively, RR 1.47 [95% CI 1.07, 2.02], p=.02).
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Conclusion. Recurrent PMB results in less likelihood of pre-malignant and malignant
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endometrial disease but one in four women have endometrial polyps as a cause of PMB.
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First line investigation for women with recurrent PMB should be with tests that have a high
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accuracy for diagnosing focal pathologies such as outpatient hysteroscopy or saline infusion
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sonography.
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Keywords Postmenopausal bleeding, polyps, endometrial cancer, hysteroscopy.
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Introduction
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Postmenopausal bleeding (PMB) is a common condition affecting between 7-15% of the
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postmenopausal population1. Prompt investigation is needed because there is a 3-10% risk
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of endometrial cancer2. Guidelines3,4 recommend first line investigation with transvaginal
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sonography (TVS) to measure endometrial thickness. The prevalence of malignancy is
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reduced to 12
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months.
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cancer, hyperplasia or an untreated polyp during the first episode of bleeding.
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We prospectively collected standardised data on a specially
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PMB was defined as an
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Women were excluded from the recurrent cohort if they were diagnosed with
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All women with PMB underwent TVS as a first-line screening test. Final diagnosis for PMB
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was made using the following reference standards:
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1. Transvaginal sonography (TVS): if the endometrium was regular, ≤4 mm on TVS with
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no evidence of fluid, the patient was considered to have an atrophic endometrium
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and sampling was not performed. The patient was reassured after a lower genital
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tract examination and discharged. A trained sonographer who was not blinded to the
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clinical symptoms performed all TVS. Colour Doppler was used when endometrial
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irregularities were seen.
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2. Endometrial biopsy (EB): women who screened positive i.e. TVS with EEC >4 mm or
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irregular endometrium (even if the EEC was ≤4mm), or incomplete visualisation of
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the endometrium, underwent aspiration endometrial biopsy (EB). A senior pathologist
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reviewed all histology and was not blinded to the clinical symptoms. Page 5
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3. Office
hysteroscopy
(OH)(under
conscious sedation):
where
an
outpatient
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endometrial biopsy (EB) failed (defined as failure to instrument the uterus or a non-
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diagnostic sample) an OH was arranged and a further biopsy taken unless the cavity
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seemed atrophic on hysteroscopic visualisation.
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visualisation was defined as a pale, avascular uterine surface with visible underlying
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stroma with no endometrial tissue avulsed following contact with the tip of the
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hysteroscope. OH was performed on all patients with a recurrent parsentation of
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PMB.
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fibroids) were suspected on TVS or EB reports. If confirmed on OH, they were
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removed and sent for histological confirmation. All OH was performed by a senior
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gynecologist or a specialist nurse who was not blinded to the clinical symptoms.
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Atrophy on hysteroscopic
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An OH was also performed where focal pathology (polyps, submucous
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For the purposes of this study we restricted final diagnosis to a single pathology. When
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more than one endometrial histological diagnosis was made the patient was categorised
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using the following hierarchy: Endometrial cancer / hyperplasia with atypia > hyperplasia
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without atypia > polyps > infection > functional > atrophic. Cancer and hyperplasia with
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atypia were included together because of the high rate of under-call and progression to
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cancer where complex hyperplasia is found with cytological atypia13–15.
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The relative proportion of different pathologies in women with first and recurrent PMB was
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compared using chi-square test or fisher’s exact test when the expected frequency was less
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than five. For the purpose of working out relative risk, values of zero were replaced with 0.5.
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Statistical analysis was performed using SPSSTM version 15.
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Results
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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Over the 53-month (just under 4.5 years) study period, 1832 women with a median duration
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of follow up of 35 months (range 1–56 months), presented with PMB for the first time to the
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Birmingham Women’s Hospital. Of this cohort, 106 (5%) women had recurrent PMB. The
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median follow up in this subgroup of women with recurrent PMB was 12 months (range 1–45
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months). All had previously been investigated for PMB and had endometrial cancer or
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hyperplasia excluded. The mean age (62.9 vs 61.1 years), body mass index (BMI) (30.7 vs
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31.8 kg/m2), EEC (8.3 vs 7.7 mm) and percentage taking HRT (11.7% vs 12.3%) was similar
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in women with first or recurrent PMB.
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Endometrial cancer or hyperplasia with atypia was diagnosed in 152/1832 (7.8%) women
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with first presentation PMB but no cases were found in the 106 women with recurrent PMB.
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In contrast, benign endometrial polyps were found to be significantly more prevalent in the
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recurrent PMB group compared with first presentation PMB (30/106, 28.3% vs 349/1832,
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19.6%, p=.02 respectively). The prevalence of all other endometrial pathologies was
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equivalent between initial and recurrent PMB groups (Table 1). Because of a possible
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association between HRT and the development of polyps16, we re-analysed the data after
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removing the women taking HRT. Endometrial polyps remained more prevalent in women
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with recurrent PMB, but the difference was no longer significant (25/94, 27% in recurrent
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PMB presentation vs 313/1616 19%, in initial PMB presentation, p=.09). Removing the
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women taking HRT had no effect on the significant decrease in cancer and atypia in
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recurrent PMB presentation. No significant differences in the prevalence of endometrial
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pathologies were noted in women with recurrent PMB when stratified into re-presentation
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within and beyond 12 months of initial presentation (Table 2).
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Discussion
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In our study, 106 (6%) women had recurrent PMB over a 4.5 year period, but no cases of
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endometrial cancer or hyperplasia with atypia were detected.
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recurrent PMB had a significantly increased risk of having benign endometrial polyps
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irrespective of the time to recurrence. The apparent increased prevalence of endometrial
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polyps with recurrent PMB may reflect the higher accuracy of OH for detecting focal
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pathologies,
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selectively in women presenting with PMB for the first time. Alternatively, women with
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recurrent PMB may have more frequently developed polyps de novo accounting for further
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bleeding symptoms. In either case, the finding that benign endometrial polyps are more
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prevalent has potential implications for how to best manage women with recurrent PMB.
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With it’s focus on diagnosing endometrial cancer, the current consensus for working up
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women with PMB using first-line TVS EEC measurement3,4,19, may be inappropriate in
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women with recurrent PMB.
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benign20,21, and the consequences of diagnosis less serious to health than endometrial
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cancer, they are associated with abnormal uterine bleeding and removal by polypectomy
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frequently resolves symptoms20,22. Thus, diagnostic pathways in recurrent PMB should be
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developed with the aim of diagnosing benign as well as malignant endometrial disease.
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which was undertaken routinely in the recurrent PMB group, but only
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Although the vast majority of endometrial polyps are
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However, women with
Figure 1 illustrates a potential testing pathway for women presenting with recurrent PMB
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based upon the findings from our study. We have introduced saline infusion sonography
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(SIS) along with OH to make are proposed pathway more generalisable. We propose that
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OH or saline infusion sonography (SIS), should be incorporated because these tests are
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more accurate in diagnosing discrete pathologies such as endometrial polyps18,23. Moreover,
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structured interviews exploring women’ preferences in the evaluation of PMB have shown
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that women are prepared to undergo more invasive hysteroscopy to evaluate for any
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additional pathology, rather than adopt the currently recommended expectant management
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after ultrasound24. It is possible that this preference for additional testing may be even more
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likely with recurrent PMB because of increased anxiety associated with repeated symptoms,
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even though paradoxically the risk of endometrial cancer appears to be low.
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investigation is reassuring and so reinvestigation of women who have already had
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endometrial polyps excluded by OH or SIS may be unnecessary. However, if the nature of
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bleeding has changed (ie increased quantity or persistence) or other relevant symptoms
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such as pain have developed then it would seem prudent to undertake timely reinvestigation
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to exclude endometrial cancer (Figure 1). We found no difference in the likelihood of
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endometrial cancer or hyperplasia in women with recurrent PMB according to whether re-
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presentation was within or beyond 12 months of initial negative testing. However, the
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median duration of follow up in our series was only 12 months. Therefore a cautious
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approach should be adopted, especially in women with recurrent symptoms and longer time
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intervals from previously negative testing. For this reason the proposed diagnostic algorithm
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recommends reinvestigation for all women with recurrent PMB after 12 months, regardless
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of previous testing history (Figure 1).
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A strength of our study is that the data were collected prospectively, consecutively and in a
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standardised fashion minimising bias from incomplete data. However, whilst the
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generalisability of our findings are limited because they are derived from a single centre, we
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believe that they are likely to mirror other centres because we adopted testing for PMB in
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line with current guidelines3,4 from a large, unselected, general postmenopausal population.
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Several other studies have estimated recurrence rates for PMB and evaluated the
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prevalence of malignant although not benign uterine pathology9,11,25–27. One study evaluated
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126 women presenting with recurrent PMB and reported an 8% recurrent PMB27 rate in
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keeping with our observed estimate of 6%. In contrast to our findings, no significant
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difference in the incidence of cancer or atypical hyperplasia were observed compared to
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current recommendations3,4 such that two of the five women with endometrial cancer in the
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recurrent group represented within a year but neither had undergone initial endometrial
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sampling despite EEC>9mm. The likelihood of recurrent bleeding has been reported to be
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as high as 33%11 and the rates of cancer and atypical hyperplasia up to 22.7% (15/66)9.
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These differences may be explained by differences in patient selection and referral criteria,
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variations in initial diagnostic work-up and the sample size and duration of follow-up. Closer
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analysis of these studies revealed that significant pathology usually occurred 12 months
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after initial investigation9,10,27. When cancer or atypical hyperplasia did present within 12
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months, endometrial sampling was either not normal, inadequate or not performed at first
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presentation9,27. It is for this reason that in our suggested pathway (figure 1) all patients with
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recurrent PMB are investigated with OH or SIS with an attempt at biopsy irrespective of the
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EEC and that a full review of previous investigations is undertaken. Larger studies are
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needed to externally validate our findings before we can make robust clinical
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recommendations.
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Although we did not follow up apparently asymptomatic women, it is unlikely that that our low
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prevalence of serious endometrial disease in women with recurrent PMB reflects high rates
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of loss to follow up. This is because PMB is an alarming symptom so women are unlikely to
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ignore it and general practitioners are well educated in the need to rapidly refer.
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Furthermore, postmenopausal women are not a particularly itinerant population and our
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hospital is the largest provider of gynaecological care in Birmingham. Another potential
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criticism of our study is the lack of a common reference standard for diagnosing endometrial
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disease. Our study was pragmatic, with data collected within a clinical setting such that the
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indication for further testing with OH or SIS, after the standard use of TVS and EB if
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EEC≥4mm3,4, was based upon clinico-pathological correlation in the absence of uniform
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guidance. We also restricted diagnosis to a single pathology so that we may have
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underestimated the prevalence of some pathologies. However, in the presence of multiple
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endometrial pathologies, we based our final diagnosis according to the most significant
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pathology and so the clinical implications of our simplification are likely to be negligible.
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Conclusions
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At least one in twenty women with PMB will have recurrent symptoms. Compared to women
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presenting for the first time with PMB, the risk of endometrial cancer in recurrent PMB in
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women who have had previously normal investigations in line with current diagnostic
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guidelines3,4, appears to be much lower but the risk of having benign endometrial polyps is
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significantly higher. All women with recurrent PMB, irrespective of when they re-present after
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their initial negative investigations, should undergo a test with a high sensitivity for focal
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pathology such as OH or SIS.
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Disclosure of interests all authors declare no conflict of interests
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Contribution to authorship PS produced the original idea, performed the analyses and
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drafted the article. SOC collected all data. TJC contributed to interpretation. TJC, SOC &
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JKG revised the article for important intellectual content.
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Details of ethics approval Data collection and storage satisfied local and national
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regulations. Ethical approval was not required.
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Funding none
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References
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18. Van Dongen H, de Kroon CD, Jacobi CE, Trimbos JB, Jansen FW. Diagnostic hysteroscopy in abnormal uterine bleeding: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BJOG Int J Obstet Gynaecol. 2007 Jun;114(6):664–75.
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20. Bakour SH, Khan KS, Gupta JK. The risk of premalignant and malignant pathology in endometrial polyps. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2000 Apr;79(4):317–20.
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21. Lieng M, Istre O, Qvigstad E. Treatment of endometrial polyps: a systematic review. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2010 Aug;89(8):992–1002.
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Recurrent PMB presentation 0 (0%) 30 (28%) 7 (7%)
Relative risk 2 0.42 1.47 1.24
152 (8%) 348 (19%) 866 (47%) 1832
0 (0%) 18 (17%) 51 (48%) 106
0.06 0.93 1.01
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Confidence Interval 0.03-6.86 1.07-2.02 0.59-2.59
P value 0.3 0.02 0.6
0.00-0.90 0.62-1.42 0.82-1.24
0.002 0.7 0.9
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Infection Polyps Hyperplasia Cancer and Atypia 3 Functional Atrophy Total
Initial PMB presentation 20 (1%) 349 (19%) 97 (5%)
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chi square, presented to one significant figure For the purpose of working out relative risk values of 0 were replaced with 0.5. 3 Functional = included histology described as weakly proliferative and weakly secretary PMB = postmenopausal bleeding
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P value
0 (0%) 17 (32%) 3 (6%) 0 (0%) 6 (11%) 27 (51%) 53
No value 0.5 0.7 No value 0.2 0.2
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0 (0%) 13 (25%) 4 (8%) 0 (0%) 12 (23%) 24 (45%) 53
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Recurrent PMB >12 months 21.8 (13-45)
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Average follow-up time in months (range) Infection Polyps Hyperplasia Cancer and Atypia 2 Functional Atrophy Total
Recurrent PMB ≤12 months 7.5 (2-12)
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Table 1. Comparison of endometrial pathology rates between women with PMB presenting for the first time or recurrently after previously normal investigations.
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chi square, presented to one significant figure Functional = included histology described as weakly proliferative and weakly secretary PMB = postmenopausal bleeding
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Table 2. Comparison of endometrial pathology rates stratified by time to representation in women with recurrent PMB.
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Did the woman’s last workup for PMB include hysteroscopy or SIS?
Yes
Were the woman’s last investigations >12 months ago?
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No further investigation required unless a change in symptoms*.
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EB = Endometrial Biopsy; PMB = Postmenopausal Bleeding; SIS = Saline infusion Sonography; * increased quantity or persistence of bleeding, pain, weight loss, bowel or
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urinary symptoms.
Figure 1. Proposed diagnostic pathway for recurrent PMB
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Precis
2 Women who present with recurrent postmenopausal bleeding appear less likely to have pre-
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malignant and malignant endometrial disease, but are more likely to have endometrial
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polyps.
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