Eur Arch Paediatr Dent DOI 10.1007/s40368-014-0157-5

ORIGINAL SCIENTIFIC ARTICLE

Effect of intermaxillary tooth-size discrepancy on accuracy of prediction equations for mixed dentition space analysis R. Khanna • R. K. Pandey • S. Tripathi

Received: 10 July 2014 / Accepted: 8 October 2014  European Academy of Paediatric Dentistry 2014

Abstract Aim Correlation-statistical methods are widely used for prediction of size of unerupted permanent canines and premolars in mixed dentition space analysis. The present study was planned to evaluate the effect of selecting dental study casts with no intermaxillary tooth-size discrepancy on the accuracy of predicting mesiodistal widths (MDWS) of permanent canines and premolars. Study design Bolton ratios were calculated for all the screened study dental casts fulfilling the inclusion criteria. Subjects were divided into two groups. Group A: all subjects with no intermaxillary tooth-size discrepancy within ±2 SD (Standard deviation) of the mean values. Group B: increased percentage of subjects with intermaxillary toothsize discrepancy beyond ±2 SD (Standard deviation) of the mean values. Statistics Linear regression equations were established for both maxilla and mandible in both the groups, with different tooth combinations as independent variables. Validation of best possible regression equations was done on an independent set of 40 subjects. The actual and predicted values of MDWS of permanent canines and premolars were compared by paired samples t test in both groups, for both arches.

R. Khanna (&)  R. K. Pandey Department of Paediatric and Preventive Dentistry, King George’s Medical University, Lucknow 226003, Uttar Pradesh, India e-mail: [email protected] R. K. Pandey e-mail: [email protected] S. Tripathi Department of Prosthodontics and Crown &Bridge, King George’s Medical University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India e-mail: [email protected]

Results The accuracy of equations derived from group A was higher than those derived from group B. The difference between actual and predicted values was statistically insignificant in group A and statistically significant in group B. Conclusion The results confirm the accuracy of simple linear regression equations derived from a sample of children with no intermaxillary tooth-size discrepancy. Keywords Bolton ratio  Mixed dentition analysis  Intermaxillary tooth-size discrepancy

Introduction Diagnosis and treatment planning for ‘tooth size-arch length discrepancy’ (TSALD) during the mixed dentition period of a child are dependent on accurate predictions of mesiodistal widths (MDWS) of unerupted permanent teeth (canines and premolars). Precise predictions help in guiding the developing occlusion of a growing child. Different methods have been reported in the literature for these predictions. The choice of method adopted is based on its accuracy, simplicity, speed and applicability in different situations. The methods used are categorised as: application of middle value (Pancherz and Schaffer 1999); correlation-statistical method (Tanaka and Johnston 1974); radiographic method (Hixon and Oldfather 1958) and combination of correlation-statistical and radiographic methods (de Paula et al. 1995). Amongst these, the correlation-statistical approach are the most widely used owing to their simplicity and ease of use. The correlation-statistical methods are based on the possibility of establishing significant correlation relationships between the sum of MDWS of erupted and unerupted permanent teeth. Both simple linear (Tanaka and Johnston

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1974) and multiple linear (Bernabe and Flores-Mir 2005) regression models have been reported. Different combinations of permanent teeth with many modifications have been established as best known predictors in these models (Carey 1949; Nourallah et al. 2002; Legovic et al. 2003; Bernabe and Flores-Mir 2005; Boboca and Dibbets 2010). These prediction methods, are not without limitations. First, their applicability in populations of different ethnic origin is questionable. Second, there is emerging evidence of a different school of thought, which states that the prediction equations for size of unerupted permanent canines and premolars (PCPMs) should be derived from a sample of subjects with no intermaxillary tooth-size (Bolton) discrepancy. Bolton (1958) developed two ratios for estimating intermaxillary tooth-size discrepancy by measuring the summed MDWS of the mandibular to the maxillary anterior teeth. Only one reported study by Uysal et al. (2009) has found very high correlation coefficients between the four mandibular permanent incisors and the actual widths of the mandibular PCPMs in Turkish subjects when Bolton tooth-size discrepancy was taken into consideration. They also found extremely low standard errors of estimate and recommended the revision of currently popular prediction methods for various populations on the basis of their observations. In the light of above the present study was completed answer: ‘Whether there should be consideration of Bolton discrepancy in selection of sample subjects, for prediction of sum of MDWS of PCPMs, with the help of linear regression equations?’

Materials and method The patients in the age group of 10–15 years, attending an outpatient Department of Paediatric and Preventive Dentistry, King George’s Medical University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh (India), were considered for inclusion in the study. Most of the patients had their ethnic backgrounds traced back to regions within Northern India. Impressions of the maxillary and mandibular dental arches were taken in alginate and poured in dental stone (type III) to obtain good-quality dental study casts. The criteria for inclusion in the study were: no previous orthodontic treatment; fully erupted, complete permanent dentition (excluding second and third permanent molars) devoid of fractures or developmental anomalies of tooth number, size or shape; no clinically visible dental caries, restorations, or attrition in proximal or occlusal surfaces in any of the erupted teeth; consent to participate in the study. Most of the patients were attending the outpatient department in need of routine oral prophylaxis or consultation for correction of minor irregularities in teeth alignment.

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Measurement of MDWS on all the casts was completed using a digital calliper (Aerospace, China) with an accuracy of 0.01 mm. Study casts with severe crowding/spacing ([2–4 mm), inaccessible proximal contacts for measurement, or impression flaws compromising accuracy of measurements, were excluded from the study. Following the strict inclusion and exclusion criteria, study casts of 305 subjects (mean age: 13.5 ± 1.8 years; 148 males and 157 females) were selected for measurement. The standardised technique proposed by Moorrees et al. (1957) was followed for all the measurements. The measurements were made by the primary investigator. The reliability of measurements was assessed by double-determination method on 20 randomly selected study casts, and the error was calculated with the help of Dahlberg’s formula (Dahlberg 1940). Only eight to ten pairs of study casts were measured in a day to avoid errors due to eye fatigue. The measurement consistency was determined by intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Descriptive statistics including means, standard deviations and maximum–minimum values were calculated for the measured tooth MDWS. Students unpaired t test was used to compare the tooth dimensions between males and females. Paired samples t test was used to compare between left and right side measurements. Bolton ratios for each subject (both anterior and posterior) were calculated thereafter. The descriptive statistics for both anterior and posterior Bolton ratio were also determined for the present sample size. A threshold of ±2 SD (Standard deviation) was considered as the criterion for selecting subjects under group A. A total of 272 study casts were finally included in group A. Power analysis (using G 9 Power 3.1.9) indicated that standard deviation of one would be detected with a power of 0.8 for the present sample size of group A. The remaining 33 study casts that exhibited extreme values beyond the ±2 SD were included in group B. The sample size of group B was also made up to a total of 272, by randomly replacing subjects from group A. Therefore, group A exclusively included subjects with no intermaxillary tooth-size discrepancy, while group B had *12 % of subjects exhibiting intermaxillary tooth-size discrepancy. In the mixed dentition period, six pairs of permanent teeth (considering left and right together) are normally present, fully erupted, during the chronologic age period of 7–9 years. All these permanent teeth available can be utilised for prediction of MDWS of PCPMs. The permanent maxillary lateral incisors are excluded due to high incidence of developmental variations in shape and size, leaving only five pairs of teeth available (Table 1). According to the theory of permutation–combination, five variables (considering left and right together) can result in twenty six different combinations (Table 1). The number

Eur Arch Paediatr Dent Table 1 Correlation coefficients for different teeth combinations Combination number

Teeth combinations according to available pairs of teeth : (11,21); (16,26); (31,41); (32,42); (36,46)

Maxillary

Mandibular

C1

46,16,42,41,11,21,31,32,26,36

0.74

0.67

0.71

0.68

C2

46,16,41,11,21,31,26,36

0.71

0.66

0.68

0.64

C3 C4

46,16,42,11,21,32,26,36 16,42,41,11,21,31,32,26

0.68 0.71

0.62 0.68(SEE = 0.92)

0.67 0.68

0.6 0.63

C5

46,16,42,41,31,32,26,36

0.74

0.65

0.73

0.69

C6

46,42,41,11,21,31,32,36

0.74

0.67

0.72

0.7

C7

46,16,42,32,26,36

0.72

0.63

0.71

0.67

C8

46,42,11,21,32,36

0.74

0.66

0.71

0.68

C9

46,16,41,31,26,36

0.7

0.62

0.69

0.64

C10

42,41,11,21,31,32

0.7

0.65

0.66

0.63

C11

16,41,11,21,31,26

0.67

0.65

0.64

0.58

C12

46,16,11,21,26,36

0.68

0.63

0.66

0.61

C13

16,42,11,21,32,26

0.69

0.67

0.67

0.61

C14

46,41,11,21,31,36

0.73

0.65

0.71

0.66

C15

16,42,41,31,32,26

0.71

0.65

0.69

0.64

C16

46,42,41,31,32,36

0.77(SEE = 0.83)

0.64

0.75(SEE = 0.79)

0.72(SEE = 0.83)

C17

46,42,32,36

0.75

0.61

0.73

0.71

C18 C19

46,41,31,36 16,11,21,26

0.74 0.62

0.59 0.61

0.71 0.59

0.68 0.52

C20

42,41,31,32

0.7

0.61

0.65

0.63

C21

16,41,31,26

0.65

0.6

0.63

0.56

C22

16,42,32,26

0.64

0.6

0.68

0.59

C23

46,16,26,36

0.64

0.56

0.64

0.58

C24

46,11,21,36

0.69

0.61

0.65

0.61

C25

41,11,21,31

0.67

0.63

0.61

0.57

C26

42,11,21,32

0.64

0.6

0.62

0.58

Group A

Group B

Group A

Group B

Five pairs of teeth available: (11,21); (16,26); (31,41); (32,42); (36,46) SEE = Standard error of estimate

of combinations for n variables taken k variables at a time is given by the following ratio (Makinson 2008): ½n!=½k! ðn  kÞ! The combinations for the five variables available were calculated for values of ‘k’ from 2 to 5, resulting in 26 different combinations. The difference in calculating the number of combinations to that of permutations is the fact that the order of variables is not of concern for any combination. In a permutation, however, different orders of arrangement of the variables result in different sets of permutation. In the present study, the order in which the mdw of different teeth was added was not significant, therefore, calculation of possible combinations was completed. Simple linear regression was computed between MDWS of all 26 combinations of teeth and MDWS of maxillary and mandibular PCPMs for both group A and B. The regression

equations generated were in the standard form of y = a ? bx, where a, b are constants; y is the dependent variable (averaged MDWS of PCPMs of both left and right sides in maxilla/mandible) and x is the predictor or independent variable (sum of right and left side MDWS of different teeth combinations in maxilla/mandible). Correlation coefficients (R) and coefficients of determination (R2) were determined for all the possible teeth combinations in each group in each arch (Table 1). The best predictors were those with highest R and R2. Validity of the best prediction equations from both the groups in each arch was then tested by applying these equations on a random set of 40 subjects each. The level of closeness of prediction was determined by calculating the absolute difference between actual and predicted values and categorising it by the criteria shown in Table 2. The actual and predicted values of MDWS of PCPMs were compared by paired samples t test in both the groups, for both the arches.

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Eur Arch Paediatr Dent Table 2 Criteria for determining proximity of prediction

Table 4 Comparison of mean MDWS between males and females

Category

Score

Error in prediction (mm)

Mean MDWS (mm)

Close

A

0–0.5

Male

B

0.5–1

Maxillary central incisor

8.76

8.64

0.14*

C

1–1.5

Maxillary lateral incisor

7.18

7.1

0.33*

D

1.5–2

Maxillary canine

8.08

7.84

0.001#

E

[2

Maxillary first premolar

7.35

7.24

0.11*

Maxillary second premolar

6.99

6.89

0.13*

11.05

10.88

Acceptable Poor

The prime objective was to assess whether exclusion/ inclusion of subjects with extreme deviations in Bolton values could affect the accuracy of prediction equations derived from that specific subject group.

Maxillary first molar

Female

0.06*

Mandibular central incisor Mandibular lateral incisor

5.57 6.17

5.527 6.101

0.1* 0.25*

Mandibular canine

7.1

6.88

0.007#

Mandibular first premolar

7.35

7.24

0.11*

Mandibular second premolar

7.4

7.32

0.29*

11.23

10.99

0.003#

Mandibular first molar

Results

P value

* Not significant difference

The mean measurement error for MDWS of all the teeth, as determined by the double-determination method, was found to be 0.182 mm which was well within the clinically acceptable limit. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was found to be 0.97, indicating good measurement consistency. Descriptive statistics for tooth mesiodistal widths (Table 3) showed no statistically significant differences between measurements from left and right side. The values of predictor variables were, however, combined for both the sides. Gender differences (Table 4) were seen in measurements of some teeth such as permanent maxillary and mandibular canines, and permanent mandibular molars (p \ 0.05). The difference in the means of these teeth ranged from 0.17 to 0.25 mm for each side. Considering the small difference of mean values of tooth MDWS between males and females, common equations were derived. Descriptive statistics for anterior and posterior Bolton ratios are presented in Table 5. The mean value for anterior and posterior Bolton ratio was found to be 78.19 and 90.29, respectively. The subjects were divided into group A and B accordingly. Table 3 Comparison of mesiodistal width tooth measurements from right and left sides of maxillary and mandibular dental arches Mesiodistal width (in mm corrected to two decimal places) Tooth

Right

p value

Left

Maxillary central incisor

8.74

8.72

0.16

Maxillary lateral incisor Maxillary molar

7.14 10.96

7.12 10.96

0.27 0.8

Mandibular central incisor

5.58

5.58

0.92

Mandibular lateral incisor

6.14

6.13

0.65

11.11

11.11

0.63

Mandibular molar

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# Significant difference

Table 5 Descriptive statistics for Bolton ratios Descriptive statistics

Anterior bolton ratio

Overall bolton ratio

Mean Standard error

78.19 0.25

90.29 0.20

Median

78

91

Mode

78

91

Standard deviation

3.53

2.86

Confidence level (95.0 %)

0.49

0.40

Correlation coefficients (R) and coefficients of determination (R2) between all the teeth combinations and PCPMs for both the groups are presented in Table 1. The best predictor in group A was the sum of four mandibular incisors and mandibular first permanent molar (C16) for both maxilla and mandible. In group B, however, the sum of four mandibular incisors and mandibular first permanent molar (C16) was the combination with highest correlation coefficient for predicting maxillary PCPMs; but in the mandible, the sum of four mandibular incisors and maxillary central incisor with maxillary first permanent molar (C4) was the best predictor combination. The standard errors of estimate (SEE) of these best combinations were also found to be quite low (Table 1). The best derived regression equations for both the arches in both group A and B were: Group A: Maxillary: y = 3.03 ? 0.42 (C16); Mandibular: y = 3.79 ? 0.39 (C16). Group B: Maxillary: y* = 5.59 ? 0.26 (C4); Mandibular: y* = 4.27 ? 0.38 (C16).

Eur Arch Paediatr Dent Table 6 Comparison of actual and predicted values of sum of PCPMs (mm)

*

Not significant difference

# Significant difference

Group A

Group B

Actual sum of PCPMs

Predicted sum of PCPMs

Mean diff

P value

Actual sum of PCPMs

Predicted sum of PCPMs

Mean diff

P value

Maxillary

22.39

22.29

0.1*

0.28

22.39

21.93

0.46#

0.002

Mandibular

21.83

21.68

0.15*

0.48

21.83

21.32

0.51#

0.05

Table 7 Proximity of predictions (%) Maxillary

Mandibular

Group A

Group B

Group A

Group B

0–0.5 mm

23

22

35

32

0.5–1 mm

25

28

22

23

1–1.5 mm

14

10

10

7

1.5–2 mm

20

15

18

13

[2 mm

18

25

15

25

The validity of equations so derived was tested in an independent set of 40 subjects. In group A, there was no statistically significant difference between actual and predicted values of PCPMs for both maxillary and mandibular arches (Table 6). In group B, highly significant difference (p \ 0.01) between actual and predicted values was seen in the maxillary arch and moderately significant difference (p = 0.05) was observed in the mandibular arch (Table 6). The proximity of prediction values to the actual values is shown in Table 7 for both the groups. The total percentage of close and acceptable predictions was observed to be higher for equations derived from group A than group B in both maxillary and mandibular arches. Similarly, the percentage of poor predictions was considerably lower in group A than in group B.

Discussion The measurement error for tooth MDWS was well within the clinically acceptable limits (Abu Alhaija and Qudeimat 2006; Tahere nik et al. 2007) in the present study. The consistency of measurements in the present study was also very high (ICC = 0.95). Common equations for both males and females, derived as the difference in MDWS of their teeth, was minimal (\0.5 mm per arch). Similar considerations were reported by other workers (Nourallah et al. 2002; Martinelli et al. 2005; Shah et al. 2013). Descriptive statistics for Bolton ratio revealed differences from the standard Bolton values (Bolton 1958). Similar variations have been reported for the Indian population (Sharma et al. 2011). The standard of clinical significance used, mostly by previous authors, was a Bolton

discrepancy of ±2 SD (Crosby and Alexander 1989; Johe et al. 2010). Similar considerations were taken in the present study. The combination of radiographic and statistical methods (Hixon and Oldfather 1958; Staley and Hoag 1978; Staley and Kreber 1980) involves additional radiation exposure in the mixed dentition and sophisticated equipment. Therefore non-radiographical correlation-statistical methods for prediction of total MDWS of PCPMs have been preferred in the past (Moyers 1958; Tanaka and Johnston 1974; Bernabe and Flores-Mir 2005; Melgac¸o et al. 2007; Al-Bitar et al. 2008). It has also been suggested that multiple linear regression may result in correlation coefficients not high enough to ensure a good correlation, (Parades et al. 2006) although many investigators have contradicted this view (Legovic et al. 2003; Memon and Fida 2012). In the present study, however, a simple linear regression owing to ease of use and simplicity was preferred. The independent/predictor variable in the simple linear regression equations derived, for predicting total MDWS of PCPMs, has been found to vary in different models established so far. The sum of MDWS of four permanent mandibular incisors has been suggested as the best predictor in this regard by many authors (Moyers 1958; Carey 1949; Huckaba 1964; Tanaka and Johnston 1974). Others have contradicted this view and have found other combinations of teeth as better predictors (Nourallah et al. 2002; Legovic et al. 2003; Bernabe and Flores-Mir 2005; Parades et al. 2006; Melgac¸o et al. 2007). Therefore, in the present study simple linear regression models for all possible teeth combinations were used as predictor variables and to derive the best predictors in each group. The sum of four mandibular incisors and mandibular first permanent molars has been used as the independent predictor variable in various studies, as established for the mandibular arch in the present study (Melgac¸o et al. 2007; Shah et al. 2013). The combination of the sum of four mandibular incisors, maxillary central incisor with maxillary first permanent molar, derived as the best predictor for the maxillary arch in the present study, has however been never reported. The highest values of correlation coefficients in both the groups for both the arches were found to be comparable and also superior to many of the previous studies

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Eur Arch Paediatr Dent

(Nourallah et al. 2002; Abu Alhaija and Qudeimat 2006; Tahere nik et al. 2007; Al-Bitar et al. 2008; Memon and Fida 2012; Shah et al. 2013) although with different predictor variables. The standard errors of estimate were also low and comparable to that in other studies (Nourallah et al. 2002; Abu Alhaija and Qudeimat 2006; Al-Bitar et al. 2008). These values were lower in group A than in group B, indicating better accuracy of equations derived from group A. The correlation coefficients determined while deriving equations from group A were also higher than in group B, further emphasising their accuracy. These findings suggest that the correlation between the predicted and predictor variable was stronger when established from a sample with no intermaxillary discrepancy. When the percentage of subjects with intermaxillary discrepancy was increased, the correlation became weaker. The comparison was further tested on an independent set of individuals with no information of Bolton discrepancy. It was seen that the percentage of poor predictions was considerably lower in group A than in group B. Therefore, the validity test also confirmed the accuracy of simple linear regression equations derived from group A. A special point of interest here is that the clinical significance of the difference between actual and predicted values is still not supported by some substantial evidence. In the present study, the criteria used by other investigators were chosen (Parades et al. 2006; Altherra et al. 2007; Durgekar and Naik 2009) where a total of 2 mm of discrepancy per arch is the maximal permissible limit, above which the prediction has been considered to be not acceptable or poor. This flexibility allows a compensation for the variations in growth taking place during the transitional period of the child’s dentition. The pattern of correlation coefficients obtained for different tooth combinations in both groups is also suggestive of the importance of sample selection. The subjects with Bolton values outside the set threshold will have significant deviations from the normal mesiodistal dimension of teeth for that population. This deviation can exist in the maxilla or mandible or both and would affect the accuracy of the equations derived, as ‘mesiodistal dimension of teeth’ here is the dependent variable. In the maxilla, the PCPMs were strongly correlated to mandibular teeth combinations (C16, C17) in group A. In group B (with increased percentage of subjects with intermaxillary discrepancy beyond ±2 SD of the mean values), the trend was different in respect that, the correlation of maxillary PCPMs with exclusive mandibular teeth (C16) was very weak. The mandibular PCPMs in both the groups were better correlated with mandibular teeth combinations (C16, C17). The combinations with exclusively maxillary teeth (C19) had weak correlations with mandibular PCPMs in both the groups. Addition of the

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maxillary teeth to mandibular teeth (C5, C6) also weakened the correlation in both the groups for mandibular PCPMs. All these observations can be explained by hypothesising that most of the subjects with abnormal Bolton ratio values (group B) had discrepancies in dimensions of maxillary teeth. Therefore, it can be stated that not only the Bolton ratio values of selected samples are significant, but also diagnosing the culprit arch with major variations; an important factor while establishing correlation equations for PCPMs.

Conclusions • •





Sample selection is highly critical in correlation-statistical methods of mixed dentition analysis. Correlation was stronger when established from a sample with no intermaxillary (Bolton) discrepancy. Increasing the percentage of subjects with intermaxillary (Bolton) discrepancy made the correlation weaker. Extreme variations in Bolton discrepancy of sample subjects can lead to derivation of regression equations that are not accurate. Therefore, it is proposed that customised correlationstatistical methods of mixed dentition analysis for different populations should be derived from sample of subjects with no Bolton discrepancy. A careful collection of data is, hence, recommended.

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Effect of intermaxillary tooth-size discrepancy on accuracy of prediction equations for mixed dentition space analysis.

Correlation-statistical methods are widely used for prediction of size of unerupted permanent canines and premolars in mixed dentition space analysis...
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