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2. Pham HH, Schrag D, O’Malley AS, Wu B, Bach PB. Care patterns in Medicare and their implications for pay for performance. N Engl J Med. 2007;356(11):1130-1139. 3. Department of Health and Human Services; Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Medicare program: Medicare Shared Savings Program: Accountable Care Organizations: final rule. http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-11-02 /pdf/2011-27461.pdf. Accessed January 13, 2014. 4. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. National Provider Identifier Registry. https://npiregistry.cms.hhs.gov/NPPESRegistry /NPIRegistryHome.do. Accessed January 13, 2014. 5. Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Medicare Shared Savings Program: shared savings and losses and assignment methodology specifications. http://www.cms.gov/Medicare /Medicare-Fee-for-Service-Payment /sharedsavingsprogram/Downloads/SharedSavings-Losses-Assignment-Spec-v2.pdf. Accessed January 13, 2014. 6. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Pioneer Accountable Care Organizations succeed in improving care, lowering costs. http://www.cms .gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/PressReleases/2013-Press-Releases-Items/2013-07-16 .html. Accessed January 13, 2014. 7. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. More partnerships between doctors and hospitals strengthen coordinated care for Medicare beneficiaries. http://www.cms.gov/Newsroom /MediaReleaseDatabase/Press-Releases/2013Press-Releases-Items/2013-12-23.html. Accessed January 13, 2014. 8. McWilliams JM, Chernew ME, Zaslavsky AM, Landon BE. Post-acute care and ACOs: who will be accountable? Health Serv Res. 2013;48(4):15261538. 9. McWilliams JM, Chernew ME, Zaslavsky AM, Hamed P, Landon BE. Delivery system integration and health care spending and quality for Medicare beneficiaries. JAMA Intern Med. 2013;173(15):14471456. 10. McWilliams JM, Landon BE, Chernew ME. Changes in health care spending and quality for

Original Investigation Research

Medicare beneficiaries associated with a commercial ACO contract. JAMA. 2013;310(8):829-836. 11. Song Z, Ayanian JZ, Wallace J, He Y, Gibson TB, Chernew ME. Unintended consequences of eliminating Medicare payments for consultations. JAMA Intern Med. 2013;173(1):15-21. 12. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Chronic Condition Data Warehouse. https://www.ccwdata.org/index.htm. Accessed January 13, 2014. 13. Binder DA. On the variances of asymptotically normal estimators from complex surveys. Int Stat Rev. 1983;51:279-292. 14. Peikes D, Zutshi A, Genevro JL, Parchman ML, Meyers DS. Early evaluations of the medical home: building on a promising start. Am J Manag Care. 2012;18(2):105-116. 15. Rosenthal MB, Friedberg MW, Singer SJ, Eastman D, Li Z, Schneider EC. Effect of a multipayer patient-centered medical home on health care utilization and quality: the Rhode Island chronic care sustainability initiative pilot program. JAMA Intern Med. 2013;173(20):1907-1913. 16. Jackson GL, Powers BJ, Chaterjee R, et al. The patient-centered medical home: a systematic review. Ann Intern Med. 2013;158(3):169-178. http://annals.org/article.aspx?doi=10.7326/00034819-158-3-201302050-00579&an_fo_ed. Accessed March 5, 2014. 17. Welch WP, Cuellar AE, Stearns SC, Bindman AB. Proportion of physicians in large group practices continued to grow in 2009-11. Health Aff (Millwood). 2013;32(9):1659-1666.

model request for application. http://innovation .cms.gov/Files/x/Pioneer-ACO-Model-Request-ForApplications-document.pdf. Accessed January 13, 2014. 21. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. CMS names 88 new Medicare Shared Savings Accountable Care Organizations. http://www.cms.gov/apps/media/press/factsheet .asp?Counter=4405&intNumPerPage=10& checkDate=&checkKey=&srchType=1&numDays= 3500&srchOpt=0&srchData=&keywordType=All& chkNewsType=6&intPage=&showAll=&pYear=& year=&desc=&cboOrder=date. Accessed January 13, 2014. 22. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. First Accountable Care Organizations under the Medicare Shared Savings Program. http://www.cms.gov/apps/media/press/factsheet .asp?Counter=4334&intNumPerPage=10& checkDate=&checkKey=&srchType=1&numDays= 3500&srchOpt=0&srchData=&keywordType=All& chkNewsType=6&intPage=&showAll=&pYear=& year=&desc=false&cboOrder=date. Accessed January 13, 2014. 23. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. More doctors, hospitals partner to coordinate care for people with Medicare. http://www.cms.gov /apps/media/press/release.asp?Counter=4501& intNumPerPage=10&checkDate=&checkKey=& srchType=1&numDays=3500&srchOpt=0& srchData=&keywordType=All&chkNewsType=1 %2C+2%2C+3%2C+4%2C+5&intPage=&showAll=& pYear=&year=&desc=&cboOrder=date. Accessed January 13, 2014.

18. Lewis VA, McClurg AB, Smith J, Fisher ES, Bynum JP. Attributing patients to accountable care organizations: performance year approach aligns stakeholders’ interests. Health Aff (Millwood). 2013;32(3):587-595.

24. Bynum JP, Bernal-Delgado E, Gottlieb D, Fisher E. Assigning ambulatory patients and their physicians to hospitals: a method for obtaining population-based provider performance measurements. Health Serv Res. 2007;42(1 Pt 1):45-62.

19. Kaiser Health News. MedPAC contemplates link between ACOs and Medigap plans. http://www.kaiserhealthnews.org/Daily-Reports /2013/September/13/medpac-and-acos.aspx.

25. Fisher ES, Staiger DO, Bynum JP, Gottlieb DJ. Creating accountable care organizations: the extended hospital medical staff. Health Aff (Millwood). 2007;26(1):w44-w57.

20. Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation. Pioneer Accountable Care Organization (ACO)

Invited Commentary

Accountable Care Organizations 2.0 Linking Beneficiaries Paul B. Ginsburg, PhD

There is broad consensus among physicians, hospital and health insurance leaders, and policy makers to reform payment to health care providers so as to reduce the role of fee for service, which encourages high volume, and inRelated article page 938 stead to use systems that reward better patient outcomes, such as bundled payments for a population or for an episode of care. Inspired by successful shared savings contracts between private insurers and health systems, such as Total Cost

of Care contracts in the Minneapolis–St Paul, Minnesota, area and the Alternative Quality Contract in Massachusetts, the Affordable Care Act accelerated this movement by defining Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs), specifying how ACOs are to be paid and how they are to relate to beneficiaries. But the legislation essentially left beneficiaries out of the equation, not offering incentives to choose an ACO or to commit— even softly—to its health care providers. This absence may severely undermine the potential of this approach to improve care and control costs.

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Research Original Investigation

Enhancing Organizational Accountability in Medicare

These issues began to emerge during the process of issuing regulations to implement ACOs in Medicare. Even before the launch of the first Medicare ACOs, many questioned the wisdom of essentially keeping beneficiaries in the dark about their enrollment in an ACO. Under current regulations, beneficiaries do not choose an ACO. Instead they are “attributed” to an ACO retrospectively based on their use of primary care physician services during the contract year. So ACOs responsible for the cost and quality of care for a population of beneficiaries do not know in advance who those beneficiaries are, and the beneficiaries do not know they are in an ACO. Only policy makers wary of touching the so-called third rail of American politics—changing Medicare in a way that limits the ability of beneficiaries to obtain care in whatever manner they choose, fragmented or otherwise—would devise such a scheme. The results of the study by McWilliams and colleagues1 confirm the seriousness of failing to link Medicare beneficiaries with ACOs. Using 2010 and 2011 claims data, the study simulated the spending and care patterns for almost 525 000 beneficiaries attributed to 145 Medicare ACOs. The study found that only 66% of beneficiaries were consistently assigned to the same ACO in both years. For those attributed to an ACO, 9% of office visits to primary care physicians and 67% of office visits to specialists were provided outside of the assigned ACO. Leakage of specialty visits by high-cost beneficiaries occurred at an even higher rate. Finally, substantial proportions of services delivered to Medicare beneficiaries by ACOs went to beneficiaries not attributed to those ACOs. Beneficiaries have no incentives to stay within the ACO, and the study illustrates how little ACOs can do to guide beneficiaries to physicians or hospitals within the ACO. These issues have arisen somewhat less in ACO-like contracting by private insurers. For the most part, these contracts have been limited to those enrolled in health maintenance organizations, which typically require enrollees to choose a primary care physician. So attribution of enrollees to an ACO can be based on these physician choices and are very straightforward. But this does not address the challenge for far more numerous enrollees in preferred provider organization products. A major insurer in California has addressed the isARTICLE INFORMATION Author Affiliation: Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California, Los Angeles. Corresponding Author: Paul B. Ginsburg, PhD, University of Southern California, Ralph and Goldy Lewis Hall, Los Angeles, CA 90089-0626 (paul [email protected]). Published Online: April 21, 2014. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2014.161.

data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

%20LIBRARY%20Files/PDF/A/PDF %20ArrangedMarriagesACOsCalifornia.pdf. Accessed March 13, 2014.

Additional Information: Dr Ginsburg is the Norman Topping Chair in Medicine and Public Policy, University of Southern California. Previously he was President, Center for Studying Health System Change.

3. Bipartisan Policy Center. A bipartisan Rx for patient-centered care and system-wide cost containment. http://bipartisanpolicy.org/sites /default/files/BPC%20Cost%20Containment %20Report.pdf. Accessed March 13, 2014.

REFERENCES

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Ginsburg contributed to the BPC report3 as a paid consultant.

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sue by offering lower patient cost sharing when health care providers under an ACO contract are used.2 The extent to which an absence of a relationship between ACOs and beneficiaries is likely to impair the effectiveness of the ACO model in Medicare has led some policy thinkers to craft “second-generation” models of Medicare ACOs. Both the Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC)3 and the Brookings Institution’s Engelberg Center for Health Care Reform4 proposed new models of Medicare ACOs in separate 2013 reports on comprehensive strategies to contain health costs over the long run. The model in each report involved enrollment by beneficiaries in an ACO-like organization, with further engagement of beneficiaries through incentives. In the BPC report,3 which used the term Medicare Network, reductions in Medicare Part B premiums are offered as an incentive for enrollment, as well as a share of any savings achieved by the Medicare Network. For those beneficiaries who enroll, network incentives would be offered so that cost sharing is reduced when they use health care providers who are part of the Medicare network they have enrolled in and increased when they use other health care providers. Physicians, hospitals, and other health care providers, such as those providing postacute care, could have 1 of 2 relationships with a Medicare Network. They could be part of the governance of the organization (resembling the current ACO program) and share in savings or losses. Alternatively, they could simply have a network relationship, reflecting what is common in private insurance today. This would address the issues that physicians in some specialties have with the current model where few ACOs seek to involve their specialty. For these models to be effective, some complementary Medicare reforms, which have been discussed extensively independently of these models, would be needed. They include revamping the Medicare benefit structure to unify Part A and Part B benefits and provide protection against catastrophic expenses, as well as rules to prevent supplemental insurance from offsetting all patient cost sharing. By creating a formal and mutually acknowledged relationship between ACOs and beneficiaries, health care provider organizations that make the investments needed to coordinate care, manage chronic diseases, and manage population health would be more likely to succeed.

Funding/Support: This work was supported by funding from the National Institute for Health Care Reform.

1. McWilliams JM, Chernew ME, Dalton JB, Landon BE. Outpatient care patterns and organizational accountability in Medicare [published online April 21, 2014]. JAMA Intern Med. doi:10.1001 /jamainternmed.2014.1073.

Role of the Sponsor: The funder had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the

2. Grossman J, Tu H, Cross D. Arranged marriages: evolution of ACO partnerships in California. http: //www.chcf.org/~/media/MEDIA

4. Engelberg Center for Health Care Reform at Brookings. Bending the curve: person-centered health care reform: a framework for improving care and slowing health care cost growth. http://www .brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/reports /2013/04/person%20centered%20health%20care %20reform/person_centered_health_care_reform .pdf. Accessed March 13, 2014.

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